Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Predicting the Future

Always an idiot's game.

Here I go.

I don't have much time, leaving to vote soon. Meant to do this post weeks ago and really investigate and footnote it, but of course I didn't. Maybe I'll update it or just run follow up posts on how I did.

First, the easy part. The Obamessiah will win and the Dems will gain complete control of Congress and Senate.

Initially, the economy will rebound smartly. Again, this is common after a presidential election. But this time it will be greater because
A. The libs will be so ecstatic that they'll go into a state of permanent celebration. Tongue in cheek, I suspect Volvo sales will spike.
B. Our lib journalists (basically everyone in the business outside Fox and talk radio), will be so filled with joy (see reason A) that they will bombard us with good news. We will be made to believe that we are now entering an American Utopia and all will be well now that the evil Republicans have been defeated.


Barring extreme events such as a terrorist attack or huge natural disaster, I can see only two ways things will go from there.

One, the Obamessiah and his minions will go through with his economic plans as he promised. In this case, I predict that most if not all of 2009 will appear to be pretty much as 2008 is now for the middle class and better for the poor, with the govt buying up companies, going on a hiring binge, jacking up social spending, and bailing out pretty much everyone who isn't "rich."
This will not affect me directly. The rich will see tax increases and the poor will get their $500 welfare checks. The stock market will start crunching again, maybe as soon as second quarter, but it will be explained away as a lingering effect of the failed Bush policies.
By 20011, the economy will be going down worse and faster, unemployment up except in government which will continue to expand. Then the Bush tax cuts will expire and plebeians like me will see tax increases. So much for the Obamessiah not taxing the middle class.
Still, we will have our govt welfare checks and perhaps cheaper health insurance, so we won't complain. After all, any problems we are experiencing are still due to the evil Bush. Make no mistake, "journalists" will put forth every effort to convince us of that.
2012 we are in the worst recession in history. Not quite a depression, but damn near. We will be crying over how the rich and their allies the Republicans screwed us and we will vote the Obamessiah and the Dems back in to save us from the sinking economy. It will do no good.
2013, Hell maybe before the end of 2012, we are in a depression, worse than the first one. There will be double digit unemployment and inflation. The majority of jobs remaining in this country, probably something on the order of 70% will be in government. We will be at best second, likely third or lower, in world economies. Other countries, seeing our fall, will have already cut loose from our economy, forming ties with others such as China and Russia. Our military will be in shambles. The Dems answer will be still more taxes and government growth.
It will probably be another 2 years or more before we finally catch on to what's going on and there will then be a huge political reversal. I think we'll be able to climb back from the depths, but it will be tough. If you thought we were a conservative nation before, just wait till then. The pendulum will swing too far to the right and it's gonna suck socially, but the economy will get back on track.
I do fear however, that the Dems will have successfully silenced all opposition voices. There will be no talk radio other than what they permit and Fox will be unrecognizable. Still, I'm sure a voice or two will be heard somehow.

Crap I ran out of time, I'll have to finish at work.
Voted, cut my workout short, back to this before starting time.

The other possible scenario is just as likely. The Dems know damn well that the Obamessiah's Robin Hoodwink promises, if carried out, would result in the utter destruction of the economy as I have described. The Obamessiah will try unsuccessfully to carry out his economic and social plans as Congress and the Senate find new and ever more clever ways to say "no." The media will not know whether to shit or wind their watches as they watch their savior, the Messiah, The One, rendered ineffectual by his own party. What's running down your leg now Chris Matthews?
Short term, the economy and po' folk like me will be hurting and the rich will get a bit of a pass as usual. And that short term won't be so short, lasting right through to 2012 if nothing extreme changes.
During this time, the media will likely have decided to punish anyone that has not gone along with the Obamessiah and will be roundly criticizing the Dem party for not cooperating with The One. Shortly after the 2008 Presidential election, there will be a "throw the bums out" mentality among the Dem constituents. But it won't be a turn to more conservative ways and it certainly won't be a turn to Republicans. Rather, the bums will be replaced by even more liberal pols who will agree with the Obamessiah's policies. He will be reelected by the way.
Now the first scenario is carried out, but it will be even worse because the economy will be weaker. This one will really crush us.

If I'm wrong and McSame wins? Still screwed. The Dems will not cooperate with him, they'll make sure the economy dies and then they and their volunteer public relations consultants, aka the "news" media, will convince us that it's all the fault of McSame and the remaining handful of Republicans, and of course the failed Bush policies. The economy will crash and then the Obamessiah will win in 2012, and we will be so completely destroyed that I fear we would NOT be able to recover.

The best scenario is that the Obemessiah wins now, he gets what he wants, we crash hard and fast, and then recover.

I have kids, and really life for schmucks like me would be so much easier in a full blown socialist country, so I think it would be cool if I was wrong and the Obamessiah's policies actually helped, or at least did not hurt, the economy.
But just because something is good for me doesn't mean it's good for the country as a whole. That's something many of us don't seem to realize or care about.

Quick Edit, just found this. Here is what I consider a typical Obamessiah fan

In Obama We Trust

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